Keep up with the most recent market trends in our Freshspective updates. Discover what's influencing conventional produce, organic options, temperature-controlled capacity, and floral so you can plan ahead and avoid disruption.
🌱 Asparagus Update
The Christmas pull is here, and we have green and white asparagus fresh and ready to ship! With Christmas underway, we’re also opening pricing discussions for New Year’s and Health Week. Let’s plan ahead now and get your customers set up for a strong start to 2026.
🇵🇪 Peru
We are mostly finished with our Ica (south) fields and are transitioning to Trujillo and the northern regions. We will continue harvesting from these areas through mid-February, then gradually slow down to make room for our Mexican season. This north-focused supply will keep volumes steady through the heart of winter.
🇲🇽 Mexico
Fields are being prepared to open at the end of January, with load volumes ramping up by mid-February through our exclusive grower partnership in the Caborca region. Now is the ideal time to start discussing programs and availability so we can align with your promotional and everyday needs.
Thanks to our strong grower partnerships, Robinson Fresh continues to offer consistent availability and premium quality across both regions. Whether you’re looking to load Peruvian or Mexican product, connect with your subject matter expert to plan ahead, secure volume, and lock in advance pricing to cover all your business.
Florida is delivering good volume and quality, while Mexico’s production is improving as new fields come online. We expect strong availability for the holiday pull.
Broccoli volume continues to be very good across Texas and the Southeast. Quality is excellent. We anticipate good, promotable volumes as we move into the holiday season.
All regions are going with good quality and availability. Specifically in the Southeast, there are deals to be had on all 3 varieties. This is expected to continue through the New Year.
There are still very limited supplies of celery across all pack sizes. The market is active as many suppliers have finished in the Salinas growing region. The Oxnard region is still struggling to get the first acres going. Demand remains strong; however, weights and yields are at normal budgeted levels and quality is solid despite market conditions. Yuma and Mexico are expecting better volume within the next 3-4 weeks.
Florida’s new fields have improved availability. Keep in mind, Florida’s winter crop will conclude by the end of December. Product from Honduras will begin in early January and continue through mid-March.
Collard, kale, turnip, and mustard continue to see extra supply with great quality. These are great for upcoming Christmas and New Year’s promotions.
The young fields in Yuma are seeing some disruption due to recent weather events, resulting in reduced yields while reducing available quality product to harvest. Crews are working diligently to procure a good usable, clean carton. Markets have begun to find new levels in connection with the newfound supply and quality available. Quality has been nice for what is available; although, we have lighter than normal weights as the cooler weather has decreased growing conditions. Mexico is producing solid volume at good quality for substitutions if needed.
Packing houses are busy pumping out volume for the holiday pull as they are starting to pack for orders coming this week and next week to get in stores in time for Christmas. Quality and availability are excellent, but pack time is limited, especially for special packs. Markets remain stable on all varieties of potatoes. We will see heavy activity for the next ten days then demand should fall off as consumers look for low carb alternatives to bring in the new year. Look for markets to remain stable and quality to remain excellent through the end of the year.
As noted last week, supply is abundant. With continued good weather, we anticipate strong holiday demand and reliable availability from both growing regions.
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The apple harvest has now been completed, and the weather remained favorable for the entire harvest. This means that the growers got all the apples off the trees this year before the freezing temperatures set in. The crop is now being reported to be around 135 million cases this year which makes it an above-average crop. Many varieties have larger crops this year including the Granny, Cosmic Crisp, and Honeycrisp. I think it’s important to note that the Honeycrisp is larger than the small crop last year, but it is smaller than the bumper crop we’ve had in past years. I expect the Honeycrisp market to creep up in price over the next couple of months. The most significant item that was down this year were the Gala. The latest report shows the crop is down 20% from last year. There are still plenty of Gala to get us through until next season but expect pricing to rise each month throughout the season. The other item that was down this year was Red Delicious, being reported down by 8% this year. I expect that we will still have plenty of Red Dels to ship this season at attractive prices. Overall, we have a great crop of apples to sell, and the category will be very promotable well into next year.
Mexico is the main supply with more than 95%. Sizing curve is larger with all sizes available. Mostly 2nd bloom with normal crop just around the corner. Quality is good. California is done. Peru is done. Colombia will begin again later this month with new crop.
Blueberries
Peru – Supplies continue to be affected by cooler temperatures, and the market has tightened this week with limited availability.
Central Mexico – Steady supplies loading out of Texas. Quality ranges from fair to good; some shrivel is being observed as fields work to clean through.
Chile – Arrivals are expected to begin by mid-December.
Raspberries
Central Mexico – Currently the primary source, accounting for about 90% of total volume. We are seeing some availability disruptions due to transfer delays. Organic demand remains strong, and supplies are still very limited. Overall quality and sizing are good.
Baja – Production is picking up, and we’re seeing a two-tiered market with product loading out of California. Quality and sizing are good.
Blackberries
Central Mexico – The main source in the marketplace. Supplies are good this week, though we expect some availability disruptions due to border-crossing delays from Mexico. Organic supplies are solid this week. Overall quality is good, with some red cell present.
Now seeing steady imports on Guatemalan cantaloupes into the Southeast, Northeast, and West Coast. Growers are seeing an even mix of sizing and are starting to get into steadier volume. Quality is strong and not hearing of any issues.
Oranges
Lemons
Grapefruit
Mandarins
Peru shipped 2.6 million boxes of grapes in week 48, signaling rising exports to the U.S. as California’s season has ended and domestic supplies are nearly gone. Strong import demand is keeping spot market prices high, likely through the New Year since week 48 volumes won’t arrive until after Christmas. Green varieties remain tighter than red due to stronger consumer demand. Production in Ica, Peru, is running slightly late but expected to increase in the next two weeks, creating the potential for promotions by mid-January.
The Mexican honeydew crop is starting to transition from northern to southern Mexico for the winter season but there remains availability arriving in Nogales during this transition. Sizing is trending smaller and heavier to 6 count. Import Guatemalan honeydews are available in the Northeast, Southeast, and West Coast and we are seeing slightly lighter supply overall.
Region: Veracruz, Mexico
Weather Update:
The weather forecast for next week predicts rain on several days. We plan to complete the programs beforehand. Temperatures are expected to range from a minimum of 63 °F to a maximum of 89 °F.
Market Intel:
The demand for limes has been steady.
Sizing Profile:
Peak sizes are 175/150, and size distribution is: 110-7%, 150-23%, 175-25%, 200-20%, 230-20%, and 250-5%.
Quality:
We have started December with a regular volume of fruit, and we expect this trend to continue throughout the month. Volumes will begin to decrease during the second week, and we will get medium and small sizes mainly. All our programs are progressing as planned.
Looking Ahead:
By mid-December, the volume of fruit will remain stable, each time slightly smaller, but always sufficient to satisfy all programs. We will see a crop focused on medium sizes. As mentioned, farmers kept November fruit on the tree; by mid-December, most of this fruit should have been harvested. We will start January with a steady volume. We expect to have small- to medium-sized fruit. This will be very beneficial to our established programs. Volume will be slightly reduced, but there is no drastic reduction planned for this month.
We are now entering week 50 and we continue to see Ecuadorian arrivals into the U.S. We expect to see another week or two before this season ends. Peruvian mangos are starting to increase and peak sizing is ranging between 9/10s, followed by 7/8s, and few other sizes. Peru will start peak packing production in the next week for arrivals weeks 51/52.
SUPPLY MEETING DEMAND FOR PAPAYA IN THE USA MARKET.
Supply conditions remain unchanged with enough supply to service demand. Similar volume arriving this week versus last week with growers still blaming weather conditions affecting the west coast of Mexico for the drop in yields and quality. A strong internal market will keep the overall availability of fruit being exported just right to service the USA out of Mexico. Supply for at least the next two weeks for papaya production is expected to be stable but with some reduction as the colder weather affects fruit sizing. Prices are stable in the U.S. market and should remain stable as we go through November.
Inventories are showing some availability to offer.
Majority of sizes are between 6–12s with some surplus fruit.
Quality is reported as good with some shorter shell life and some stem issues due to extra humidity at the fields.
Color 25%- 50% / 12-14 brix at point of shipping. The ideal temperature for Imperial papaya is 48 degrees to avoid quality issues upon receiving.
Crop Outlook: Forecast has conditions for steady supply for the next two weeks.
Market Intel: Enough supply to service demand.
We are now shipping pears from Oregon and Washington State, where we are shipping new crop on Bartletts, red pears, Bosc, and Anjou pears. We anticipate that Bartlett pears will be available to ship this year until around the end of January. The Bosc pears and Anjou are projected to be year-round this year and will be promotable through the first quarter of 2026.
Supply Meeting Demand in U.S. Market.
Strawberry Availability
Supplies are limited on watermelons from offshore and Southern Mexico. Demand is also very light with the cooler weather in most of the selling areas. We will start Southern Mexico the middle of the month on personal watermelons out of Nogales and seedless a couple weeks after that.
We are now shipping new crop organic Gala, Honeycrisp, Cosmic Crisp, Fuji, Granny Smith, and Pink Lady apples. Overall, the organic apple crop is mirroring the conventional crop on both quality and size. The most promotable varieties this season look to be the organic Fuji, organic Pink Lady, and the organic Cosmic Crisp.
December has finally come, and we are starting our organic citrus season. We started with grapefruit last week and we will start lemons this week. Followed by navels and cara caras next week. The quality reports from the fields are looking good and we should be peaking on 88 count, 113s, followed by 72 count on navels. Lemons are peaking on 115 count, 140 count, followed by 95 count. The market on grapefruit and lemons is holding in there, but navels have been very limited and priced accordingly.
Organic dry vegetables are in full swing now. Plenty of winter squash available across the country--local deals, California supply, and now Mexico back in the market. Demand had been light, but as we get into December, this will change. Our Hollister program has been going well and we have finished a few of our varieties. We do have good supply currently on butternut, spaghetti, and Delicata.
We finished Northern Mexico on organic mini watermelons. We will not have organic minis until the spring of 2026.
There is very good supply currently on organic onions. Washington, California, and other regional supply is in full swing. The red market is continuing to hold up in pricing as supply is good but not over-supplied. Yellow onions are over-supplied, and the market is depressed. Yellow onions would be ideal for promotions right now. White onions are steady on pricing and supply. There will not be any change to these markets until we can get into the new year and demand picks up.
We have a good organic pear crop out of the Northwest this year and are currently shipping organic Bosc and organic Anjou pears. The overall crop on all pears looks very good this year and we will have lots of fruit to promote for the rest of this year and into 2026.
Supply Regions: Organic potatoes are currently shipping from Washington, Oregon, Colorado, and Wisconsin.
Availability: There is plenty of supply across all varieties (russet, red, yellow, fingerling, etc.). No expected interruptions until March or April 2026.
Quality: Outstanding quality reported. All potatoes have gone through their sweat process and are now stored for winter, ensuring stability and shelf life.
Sweet potatoes are all set now for the next several months. There is plenty of supply right now on all varieties. You can get Jumbos, Mediums, and #1"s out of California right now. Quality continues to be outstanding as we are in the heart of the season. Great time to promote for Christmas.
Refrigerated truckload conditions remain regionally mixed across the U.S.
In the Southeast, outbound freight continues to be easy to cover with competitive rates driven by excess capacity, particularly in Florida and Georgia. Inbound freight into Florida remains costly and challenging due to ongoing imbalance, a trend expected to continue through year-end.
The Northeast remains tight, with elevated rates and difficulty securing same-day coverage—especially on southbound lanes. Rates peaked in late September and have softened slightly, though seasonal demand continues to pressure capacity.
In the Midwest, northern areas such as Michigan remain tight with rising rates tied to late-season harvest activity. Central and southern markets—including Illinois, Arkansas, and Texas—are more balanced. Southern markets like Dallas are loosening further, offering more favorable conditions for shippers.
On the West Coast, California rates continue to ease as produce season winds down. Arizona remains tight due to limited outbound volume and fewer inbound trucks. In the Pacific Northwest, apple season and holiday-driven demand are pushing rates upward, with tight conditions expected through Q4. Short-term disruptions occurred in early November around Diwali, but markets have since normalized.
Nationally, reefer spot rates remain slightly above last month, while contract rates continue a modest upward trend. Seasonal demand and regulatory cost pressures are expected to keep capacity tight as we move into early 2026.
GLOBAL UPDATES
OCEAN TRENDS - On the West Coast, weather disruptions in Chile and cut-and-run port operations are testing schedule integrity. Several carriers have paused bookings for up to four weeks on certain routes to Mexico and North America. Meanwhile, Peru and Chile’s peak fruit export season is tightening capacity further, intensifying competition for vessel space through the fourth quarter.
TARIFF IMPACTS - The fresh produce trade between South America and the United States remains central to ensuring year-round availability of fruits and vegetables for American consumers, with countries like Chile, Peru, Ecuador, and Argentina supplying key items such as grapes, berries, citrus, and avocados. Earlier in 2025, the U.S. Reciprocal Tariff Policy, introduced in April, imposed new costs on imports, with most South American nations facing a 10% tariff, Ecuador a 15% rate, and Brazil a steep 50%. These measures raised import costs and fueled concerns about higher consumer prices and disrupted supply chains. However, as of November 13, 2025, reciprocal tariffs on fresh produce have been removed, restoring more favorable trade conditions. The rollback is expected to ease pressure on exporters and stabilize grocery prices for U.S. consumers. It also reduces uncertainty in trade negotiations, encouraging South American suppliers to maintain strong ties with the U.S. market rather than diverting shipments to alternatives like the European Union. Given America’s reliance on imported produce—over 50% of fresh fruit and 31% of fresh vegetables—the policy reversal could help secure supply chains, moderate costs, and reinforce the long-term resilience of cross-hemisphere trade.
DEMURRAGE/DETENTION CHARGES - Shippers negotiating with ocean carriers or freight forwarders on perishable cargo contracts should request as much free time at destination as possible to reduce the risk of detention/demurrage charges when inspections/fumigations or drayage capacity constraints delay cargo delivery at destination. Unavoidable and unprecedented demurrage and detention charges due to delays in turning cargo at destination continue in 2025. In 2025, U.S. ports have experienced fluctuating performance in fresh produce cargo release, driven by shifting trade policies, labor disruptions, and infrastructure constraints. While overall import volumes remain strong, timely cargo release has become increasingly unpredictable, especially at high-volume ports like Los Angeles, Long Beach, and New York/New Jersey. Importers are reporting heightened exposure to demurrage and detention fees, often triggered by port congestion, chassis shortages, and delays in customs clearance. These charges—ranging from $270 to over $625 per container per day depending on equipment type and location—are compounded by limited free-time windows and inconsistent billing practices across carriers and terminals.
For more global freight insights, please visit Global Freight Markets Insights | C.H. Robinson (https://www.chrobinson.com/en-us/resources/insights-and-advisories/global-forwarding-insights/)
Availability and air freight capacity are back to normal out of both Colombia and Ecuador following theThanksgiving push.